I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

After a sluggish start, the Treasury yield curve steepening gained momentum in late 2025 as the Federal Reserve cut rates by 75 basis points over three months, driving short-term yields lower. With ...